Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.613462 0.694599 0.780890 0.879326 0.988333 1.105172 1.239705
2025-10-12 0.505862 0.622292 0.754924 0.916466 1.107128 1.324189 1.589150
2025-10-19 0.411382 0.547280 0.712340 0.925805 1.192588 1.512884 1.924172
2025-10-26 0.337469 0.483596 0.672096 0.929738 1.268875 1.695795 2.268942
2025-11-02 0.279763 0.430276 0.635751 0.931343 1.339256 1.875058 2.623300
2025-11-09 0.234213 0.385362 0.603041 0.931456 1.404705 2.050685 2.985131
2025-11-16 0.198935 0.349030 0.576370 0.934863 1.472353 2.232002 3.366108
2025-11-23 0.167711 0.313365 0.545036 0.926150 1.519376 2.385512 3.716927
2025-11-30 0.147578 0.292166 0.532618 0.943510 1.604738 2.598164 4.164643
2025-12-07 0.125995 0.264640 0.505848 0.934027 1.646161 2.746497 4.525087
2025-12-14 0.110610 0.245591 0.490491 0.940707 1.712284 2.934992 4.955707
2025-12-21 0.094793 0.222868 0.465412 0.927336 1.743062 3.068536 5.307427
2025-12-28 0.087380 0.215973 0.468707 0.964837 1.863551 3.355032 5.920793
2026-01-04 0.080494 0.209008 0.470925 1.000392 1.983228 3.647504 6.560582
2026-01-11 0.071433 0.195625 0.458767 1.007515 2.052661 3.860058 7.081097
2026-01-18 0.063131 0.182392 0.445063 1.009895 2.113051 4.060113 7.590873
2026-01-25 0.055776 0.169981 0.431331 1.010459 2.169469 4.255784 8.102631
2026-02-01 0.049296 0.158446 0.417862 1.009852 2.223000 4.448622 8.618459
2026-02-08 0.043899 0.148642 0.406880 1.013050 2.283598 4.656796 9.170579
2026-02-15 0.038404 0.137358 0.390833 1.003426 2.317474 4.817271 9.644973
2026-02-22 0.035135 0.131803 0.387726 1.021851 2.409050 5.089094 10.331702
2026-03-01 0.030793 0.122005 0.372705 1.011576 2.440179 5.248048 10.819254
2026-03-08 0.027764 0.115649 0.365549 1.018663 2.508009 5.480248 11.452056